21
1992 → ONGOING Alive Category Sport / Media

Tony Hawk

Stayed all in on skating when the sport collapsed and he was nearly broke. Landed the 900, turned his name into a franchise, and dragged skating into the mainstream.

The move

Tony Hawk ran vert skating through the 1980s. Then in the early 90s the whole sport fell off a cliff. Contests disappeared. Sponsors pulled out. By his own account he was nearly broke, living on a few dollars a day and watching his income vanish.

He stayed in. In 1992, right in the worst of the crash, he co-founded Birdhouse. Kept skating in a sport most people had written off as a dead fad.

1999. He lands the 900 at the X Games. First person ever. Same year, Tony Hawk's Pro Skater comes out. He hadn't just kept skating alive. He'd made his own name the front door to it, and licensed that name into a games franchise that put a skateboard in the hands of a generation who'd never stood on one.

Why it was risky

Every sensible read in 1993 said the same thing. Skateboarding is over. Take the fame and go do something with a future. Instead Hawk bet on the one thing he fully controlled, himself, and poured it into a sport the market had called dead.

The 900 was a physical bet on top of the money one. Skaters had been trying it for years. He fell trying it more times than he can count, in front of the biggest crowd of his life, before he landed it.

The numbers

The 900 FIRST EVER LANDED · X GAMES 1999
$1.4B+ TONY HAWK'S PRO SKATER FRANCHISE SALES
1992 FOUNDED BIRDHOUSE AS THE SPORT WAS DYING

He turned a dying sport and a shrinking income into a name that meant skateboarding, then licensed it into games, tours, brands and a foundation. Rodney Mullen refused to own what he made. Hawk made himself the thing and sold it everywhere. Both bets paid. Just in different currencies.

The lesson

The 900 wasn't the biggest risk. Staying in while everyone else left, and betting his own name on it before there was any sign it would work, was. Hawk backed himself when nobody else would, then owned the upside when skating came roaring back. R.I.S.K. is for people ready to go all in on the thing everyone else is quietly writing off.

→  Take the risk

Risk shape

Mode
BET-THE-NAME-ON-A-DYING-SPORT
Distribution
PERSONAL-EQUITY POWER-LAW
Capital
PERSONAL · REPUTATIONAL
The other system's verdict
KILLED IN A PORTFOLIO REVIEW AS A DEAD CATEGORY

An investment committee in 1993 would have written skateboarding off as a fad past its peak and moved the money. Hawk doubled down on the one thing he controlled, his name, right before the sport came back.

→  See how risk actually works
#RiskThe moveYearStatusLink
01 Steve Jobs Killed 70% of Apple's product line. Bet on taste. 1997 Legacy Read → 02 Phil Knight Put everything on importing shoes. Built Nike. 1964 Alive Read → 03 Virgil Abloh Architect, no fashion training. Ran Louis Vuitton menswear. 2013 Legacy Read → 04 Patagonia Don't buy this jacket. Gave the company to Earth. 1973 Alive Read → 05 Michael Jordan Walked from Adidas. Bet on his own name. 1984 Alive Read → 06 Rick Rubin Started a label in his NYU dorm. 1984 Alive Read → 07 Sir Alex Ferguson Bet a dynasty on teenagers. Class of '92. 1986 Legacy Read → 08 Kanye West (Ye) Burned the playbook every album. 2004 Alive Read → 09 Madam C.J. Walker Built a beauty empire from a stovetop formula. 1905 Legacy Read → 10 Liquid Death Sold still water like a death-metal beer. 2019 Alive Read → 11 Reed Hastings Killed the DVD to bet on streaming. 1997 Alive Read → 12 Sheryl Sandberg Left Google for a money-losing Facebook. 2008 Legacy Read → 13 Indra Nooyi Bet Pepsi on health before the market wanted it. 2006 Legacy Read → 14 Brian Chesky Strangers sleeping in your house. Now public. 2008 Alive Read → 15 Whitney Wolfe Herd Sued Tinder. Built Bumble. Women message first. 2014 Alive Read → 16 Will Ahmed Gave the hardware away. Sold the membership. 2012 Alive Read → 17 Tobi Lütke Couldn't find good software. Built Shopify. 2006 Alive Read → 18 Frank Gehry Buildings everyone said couldn't be built. 1962 Alive Read → 19 Allyson Felix Took on Nike. Started her own shoe company. 2018 Alive Read → 20 Rodney Mullen Invented the tricks. Gave them all away. 1980 Alive Read → 21 Tony Hawk Bet his name on a dying sport. Built an empire. 1992 Alive You are here 22 Jack White Bought pressing plants while the industry scrapped them. 2001 Alive Read →